Sunday, January 6, 2008

Oscar Predix.

Best Picture
1. No Country for Old Men
2. Atonement
3. There Will Be Blood
4. Into the Wild
5. Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber from Fleet Street
6. Juno
7. Hairspray
8. American Gangster
9. Charlie Wilson’s War
10. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

THOUGHTS: As off now, "No Country for Old Men" is nearly a lock, but we must remember that Critics don't vote for the Oscars. We have to wait till the Oscar nominations come out. But hey, the SAG nod surely helps. It's biggest competition however are "Atonement", "There Will Be Blood" AND "Into the Wild" who are really strong at this point of the race. "Hairsprays" status had gone way up after the SAG nomination, lets see if it snags the Globes.

Best Actor in a Leading Role
1. Daniel Day Lewis in There Will Be Blood
2. George Clooney in Michael Clayton
3. Johnny Depp in Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber from Fleet Street
4. Viggo Mortensen in Eastern Promises
5. Emile Hirsch in Into the Wild
6. James McAvoy in Atonement
7. Denzel Washington in American Gangster
8. Ryan Gosling in Lars and the Real Girl
9. Tom Hanks in Charlie Wilson’s War
10. Frank Langella in Starting Out in the Evening

THOUGHTS: Daniel Day Lewis seems to have this one in the bag. George Clooney is his only threat at this point because he's the only "strong enough" contender who got a SAG nomination as well as a GG. True Viggo got a SAG and GG nom, but do you HONESTLY think he's strong enough? Nuh-uh.

Best Actress in a Leading Role
1. Julie Christie in Away From Her
2. Marion Cotillard in La Vie En Rose
3. Ellen Page in Juno
4. Amy Adams in Enchanted
5. Angelina Jolie in A Mighty Heart
6. Keira Knightly in Atonement
7. Cate Blanchett in The Golden Age
8. Helena Bonham Carter in Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
9. Nikki Blonsky in Hairspray
10. Nicole Kidman for Margo at the Wedding

THOUGHTS: The critic wins from Christie and Cottilard just show how powerful their peformances are, but will the Academy go for them or the other Oscar-friendly performances...like, let's say ELLEN PAGE.

Best Actor in a Supporting Role
1. Javier Bardem in No Country for Old Men
2. Casey Affleck in The Assignations of Jesse James by Coward Robert Ford
3. Philip Seymour Hoffman in Charlie Wilson’s War
4. Hal Holbrook in Into the Wild
5. John Travolta in Hairspray
6. Tom Wilkinson in Michael Clayton
7. Ethan Hawke in Before the Devil Knows You Dead
8. Phillip Bosco in The Savages
9. James Brolin in American Gangster
10. Ben Foster in 3:10 to Yuma

THOUGHTS: Bardem practically has the Oscar already. He just needs the SAG to truly secure his position. Affleck may upset and everyone else...their just fillers. With "Hairsprays" SAG nom and the lack of enthusiasm for "Michael Clayton", I have a very good feeling that Travolta might just get a nomination. It would be very, very cool!

Best Actress in a Supporting Role
1. Cate Blanchett in I’m Not There
2. Amy Ryan in Gone Baby Gone
3. Tilda Swinton in Michael Clayton
4. Saoirse Ronan in Atonement
5. Ruby Dee in American Gangster
6. Catharine Keener in Into the Wild
7. Romola Garai in Atonement
8. Julia Roberts in Charlie Wilson’s War
9. Michelle Pfeiffer in Hairspray
10. Vanessa Redgrave in Atonement

THOUGHTS: It's Cate vs. Amy Ryan. Nuff said. However...there might be some SAG upsets.

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